Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.476033 0.559024 0.650142 0.757328 0.879671 1.014661 1.174568
2024-10-27 0.347430 0.457183 0.589661 0.760104 0.972198 1.225954 1.550893
2024-11-03 0.272375 0.395339 0.556201 0.779124 1.076638 1.456206 1.972600
2024-11-10 0.218200 0.345596 0.524467 0.788735 1.162925 1.666464 2.386294
2024-11-17 0.177663 0.304736 0.494904 0.792272 1.235621 1.860188 2.791308
2024-11-24 0.149370 0.275566 0.475632 0.804689 1.317990 2.070350 3.233030
2024-12-01 0.125424 0.248046 0.453322 0.807206 1.382664 2.257055 3.652698
2024-12-08 0.101280 0.214964 0.415996 0.779121 1.394158 2.361885 3.955207
2024-12-15 0.090188 0.203297 0.412769 0.806137 1.495127 2.610512 4.493638
2024-12-22 0.079846 0.190908 0.406014 0.825310 1.583482 2.844196 5.023236
2024-12-29 0.074598 0.187818 0.415818 0.874739 1.727412 3.177789 5.734623
2025-01-05 0.064315 0.171806 0.398065 0.870219 1.774448 3.351604 6.192958
2025-01-12 0.054788 0.155762 0.378336 0.860405 1.812609 3.516199 6.653139
2025-01-19 0.046905 0.141872 0.360934 0.852905 1.854099 3.689467 7.140079
2025-01-26 0.041946 0.134197 0.355843 0.869905 1.943898 3.955062 7.805151
2025-02-02 0.037123 0.125744 0.347602 0.878962 2.018362 4.197148 8.442586
2025-02-09 0.032622 0.117079 0.337417 0.882276 2.080990 4.420703 9.059032
2025-02-16 0.029237 0.110831 0.332088 0.895700 2.165335 4.690466 9.775676
2025-02-23 0.025781 0.103465 0.322699 0.898382 2.226735 4.919246 10.427888
2025-03-02 0.021444 0.091997 0.300526 0.867503 2.211999 4.996282 10.794798
2025-03-09 0.019915 0.089685 0.302884 0.897166 2.333973 5.354736 11.724690
2025-03-16 0.018234 0.086380 0.301908 0.918214 2.437988 5.682563 12.611279
2025-03-23 0.017706 0.087275 0.313288 0.972459 2.622824 6.187834 13.874470